Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 49.082147 55.183791 61.544451 68.652517 76.356481 84.436714 93.534724
2024-10-13 39.666664 48.579430 58.445495 70.098154 83.404132 98.044805 115.290306
2024-10-20 33.974858 44.220436 56.047733 70.549417 87.685191 107.124830 130.674608
2024-10-27 28.581310 39.378665 52.333684 68.760726 88.763201 112.058745 140.955849
2024-11-03 26.415265 38.109802 52.580784 71.418226 94.889928 122.772511 157.973565
2024-11-10 24.109191 36.361392 51.974357 72.803443 99.312325 131.373712 172.494016
2024-11-17 21.595553 34.058894 50.412011 72.758427 101.784330 137.494544 183.978963
2024-11-24 20.448748 33.477274 50.990047 75.392890 107.612893 147.793446 200.710142
2024-12-01 18.487509 31.557660 49.602710 75.288256 109.804771 153.475134 211.700329
2024-12-08 16.491385 29.395851 47.707305 74.337675 110.757050 157.494575 220.562572
2024-12-15 15.019430 27.876419 46.588162 74.337039 112.888408 162.990976 231.319841
2024-12-22 13.710585 26.485278 45.543529 74.343391 114.960138 168.380652 241.961648
2024-12-29 13.233960 26.408333 46.458353 77.213246 121.102050 179.365663 260.237315
2025-01-05 12.291584 25.492264 46.058744 78.158580 124.592965 186.894393 274.129210
2025-01-12 11.359900 24.501078 45.462839 78.748071 127.543257 193.693056 287.102384
2025-01-19 9.960057 22.558015 43.245589 76.790301 126.759736 195.341370 293.157630
2025-01-26 9.702195 22.628779 44.225707 79.677686 132.981957 206.662335 312.354872
2025-02-02 9.186325 22.175685 44.317235 81.180177 137.197523 215.254810 327.952970
2025-02-09 8.422483 21.180476 43.446940 81.131410 139.101901 220.629442 339.208453
2025-02-16 8.233375 21.281075 44.413308 83.988100 145.354444 232.175907 359.057183
2025-02-23 7.555308 20.343539 43.546983 83.874680 147.136263 237.414511 370.251646
2025-03-02 6.792509 19.150608 42.158424 82.844117 147.474909 240.569709 378.559098
2025-03-09 6.248721 18.359760 41.428163 82.843427 149.354349 245.928382 389.976782